This alert expired on 5 July 2026 at 23:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
No stronger detection stands among the 8 recorded within 20 km of this point since 8 May 2026 — 7 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 2 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued July 5 at 5:49PM CDT until July 5 at 6:00PM CDT by NWS New Orleans LA
Nearby, since 8 May 2026
- July 12, 2026 · score 22 · 12.4 km
- July 1, 2026 · score 22 · 13.3 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 22 out of 100, at 57 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Event Data
| Type | Severe weather |
| Severity | medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 22 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 57% |
| Coordinates | 29.2856, -89.9117 |
| Nearest City | Estelle (66 km) |
| Impact Tier | minor |
| Timestamp | 2026-07-05T22:49:00.000Z |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Special Marine Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Breton Sound; Chandeleur Sound; Coastal Waters from Boothville LA to Southwest Pass of the Mississippi River out 20 nm; Coastal waters from Pascagoula Mississippi to Stake Island out 20 NM; Terrebonne Bay; Coastal Waters from Port Fourchon LA to Lower Atchafalaya River LA out 20 nm; Barataria Bay; Coastal Waters from Port Fourchon LA to Lower Atchafalaya River LA out 20 nm; Coastal waters from the Southwest Pass of the Mississippi River to Port Fourchon Louisiana out 20 NM; Coastal Waters from Boothville LA to Southwest Pass of the Mississippi River out 20 nm; Coastal waters from Southwest Pass of the Mississippi River to Port Fourchon Louisiana from 20 to 60 NM |
| Headline | Special Marine Warning issued July 5 at 5:49PM CDT until July 5 at 6:00PM CDT by NWS New Orleans LA |
| Expires | 2026-07-05T18:00:00-05:00 |
| SenderName | NWS New Orleans LA |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 3 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.e51a7d571ca66afa44e8613bbecb9eaac39bec56.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.20b3fb7c51b0f37fd1e3b254bb8c83cbac3ce954.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.1d227c2dda8c6e1cfa1211c961999f1c6f71e20a.001.1"] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 22/100, near Estelle (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 191 scientific monitoring sources.